CNN Anna Coren: Manila's Earthquake stats purposely hidden from public

CNN’s Anna Coren revealed that the Philippine government commissioned an Earthquake study several years ago. The results of the study made by the Japanese hinted that up to 38 percent of the capital would be devastated, and the projected death toll to be at least 50,000 people.

How prepared is Manila?

Hat tip to Sarah Meier.

UPDATE: This is a document from the Philippine Volcanology and Seismology agency on Philippines/Manila Earthquake Damage scenario (PDF). PHIVOLCS is an agency of the Philippines’ Department of Science and Technology. It is tasked to mitigate disasters that may arise from volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, tsunami, and other geotectonic phenomena.

hat tip to Francis Tuason.

UPDATE-2: Earthquake Impact Reduction Study for Metro Manila, Philippines (Executive Summary, PDF)

Cocoy Dayao

Cocoy is the Chief Technology Officer of Lab Rats Technica, a Digital Consulting company that specialises in DevOps, iOS, and Web Apps, E-Commerce sites, Cybersecurity and Social Media consulting. He is a technology enthusiast, political junkie and social observer who enjoys a good cup of coffee, comic books, and tweets as @cocoy on twitter.

Cocoy is also the Managing Director and Editor-in-Chief of the ProPinoy Project.

Cocoy considers himself to be Liberal.

  • Barbara Hill ,

    I am trying to find news of Nic Ng, working in the Philippines at the time of the earthquake.ย  Does anyone have news of him?

    • sophia ,

      That was about a year ago. Is there any timeline to when the earthquake will hit? Of course we have to be prepared but it would be useful to know how much time we have to prepare.

      • Bert ,

        I would be very glad to help, Sophie, but my crystal ball is not working today, :).

        • sophia ,

          hahaha ๐Ÿ˜€ then why expound on the panic people have over the japan earthquake? i mean, this was reported over a year ago and nothing happened. the last earthquake was not as strong as was predicted. would that be it? or are you insinuating that we should anticipate a much stronger earthquake?

          • Bert ,

            Well, Sophie, to be quite frank (ehem), my crystal ball is pretty accurate when it’s working, but predicting when earthquake would hit is as impossible as knowing what rants I will be writing here in this blog next, which is to say it cannot be done accurately.

            I would suggest that you carry with you the the earthquake survival kit adviced by another blogger here in Propinoy, just to be perfectly ready and safe.

            Be very sure you carry it with you always, all the time, anywhere you go, you know, just to be perfectly safe. It’s just about 30 kilos, so no problem.

            Better tired than sorry, :).

      • JM Chua ,

        • Future Engineer ,

          This is very true.

          If this Anna Coren is referring to the MMEIRS (Metro Manila Earthquake Impact Reduction Study)), I’ve seen the reports last year for research purposes.

          • Cocoy ,

            JM and Future Engineer,

            Thanks for the heads up!

            Article has been updated to include a PDF link to executive summary, Metro Manila Earthquake impact reduction study.

          • GabbyD ,

            i think coren means it was covered up for the first few years, and it was released (tho redacted somewhat) a couple of years ago.

          • J_ag ,


            I am not an expert on where the fault lines lie in and around the Philippine archipelago.

            If ever an magnitude 8-9 earthquake were to happen here the result would be akin to a biblical catastrophe. Government itself would be devastated. Tokyo, Manila and San francisco live with that threat every day.

            PAGASA has long been warning about the fact that the government does not take this into consideration and even if it did the country is ill equipped to implement strict land use and zoning policies.

            There is no secret to the fact that no one is prepared for such an event in the country.

            Imagine water pipes and electric power impaired and distribution lines impaired for food and essentials. The city would revert back to the 18th and 19th century.

            • cocoy ,

              yep. this is the most likely scenario. i’ve seen those disaster equipment container vans that are under flyovers all over the city. but i have to wonder… if that’s the best place to put ’em. you know?

              • UP nn grad ,

                Pilipinas has a built-in insurance plan for the earthquakes, typhooons and other disaster that result in over 1,200 deaths and over US$150Million damage —- the United Nations and the international community.

              • mario taporco ,

                My mind is wondering once again.

                I just had thought about their Korean neighborhood. What if, and just what if they’ve detonated a nuclear device deep in the sea bed floor. Without anyone knowing it, in that, tsunami will occur if they were to trigger a 40 pounds war-head.

                Is there something we don’t know about, and are they telling us the truth?

                At least Bert is all ready, and don’t forget the carabao to till the rice field. ๐Ÿ˜‰

                Just a thought…,!ย 

                • Bert ,

                  “Is Manila ready for an earthquake?”

                  Hehehehehe, what a question, :).

                  Well, my answer is this: I am ready.

                  From now on, I’m going to live on the middle of the ricefield, far, far away from tall buildings, and far, far away from any seashore. I don’t know if anybody can be as ready as that, hehehehe.

                  If every one else can come and live with me, then I guess the problem is solved.

                  • Cocoy ,

                    Be sure to bring a lightning rod with you man. Being alone in the field could make you a target of one ๐Ÿ˜›

                    • side-fish ,

                      i hope u can swim when liquefaction happens on rice fields.

                    • rolandodalisay ,

                      we have to do something by starting now.we could see lessons from japan if not by their strict implementation of building code many have died..

                      • Cocoy ,

                        Exactly. I hope everything will be up to spec.

                        • UP nn grad ,

                          For the first days, many of the death and destruction will be from collapse of those houses — many still on their first coat of paint — built in the Diosdado Macapagal or Carlos Garcia or earlier administrations. Also when fires jump from house to house, and “bad luck” may find a few more death-counts where folks get trapped inside burning houses unable to escape because of rehas in the windows.

                          Hopefully, there will not be many subsequent deaths from the spread of disease nor from hunger or lack of water.